Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.062837 18.376484 21.093924 24.572286 28.983780 34.504634 42.128130
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.232552 15.965988 19.460369 24.404851 31.494094 41.787875 58.983284
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.788420 14.731409 18.715698 24.771899 34.306454 49.963812 81.165460
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 10.449768 13.363070 17.461392 24.008674 35.043852 54.986885 101.236182
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 9.603848 12.534915 16.802918 23.942766 36.794097 62.403325 132.823083
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 8.692830 11.496694 15.672516 22.876816 36.446851 65.477564 156.898184
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.859678 10.489062 14.466264 21.477480 35.120427 65.886455 173.847984
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.212668 9.704827 13.528272 20.404258 34.200548 66.946667 195.511252
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.400451 10.203009 14.689758 23.270025 42.259191 95.942182 427.190315
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.258975 10.166417 14.952599 24.493096 47.126928 120.414327 836.527009
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.773808 9.536518 14.127021 23.407444 45.965666 122.760317 1045.701681
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.536507 9.294992 13.961654 23.659763 48.404763 141.934108 2060.916013
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.198825 8.881565 13.482451 23.249033 49.141887 155.948537 4238.568115
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.933322 8.572054 13.166374 23.154206 50.825878 177.775694 17284.740289
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.746490 8.381609 13.050422 23.487919 53.983926 214.561534 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.454896 7.991284 12.521627 22.783119 53.538892 227.269185 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.260716 7.758940 12.277102 22.722132 55.321925 262.515287 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.981580 7.362080 11.683477 21.735551 53.501841 263.204433 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.687488 6.926471 10.989897 20.437784 50.268464 246.660110 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.443116 6.569951 10.434843 19.440384 47.997871 238.540822 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.586910 6.911036 11.285432 22.099681 60.931794 461.959395 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.564224 6.948512 11.525125 23.230831 68.572041 722.213717 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 4.357737 6.636784 11.014679 22.226883 65.787132 703.018657 NaN